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It's definitely problematic when pundits make the types of sweeping claims you mentioned, given how uncertain/dynamic primaries can be. But from late 2015 until he won the nomination in 2016, Trump led the rest of the GOP field pretty consistently. So, there's a recent precedent for that, and given what we know about the nature of Trump's appeal, maybe the same pattern holds this time around?

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May 26, 2023Liked by Seth Moskowitz

I can go either way, but clicked "no" as I get other news already and your writing is uniquely you. I see tho' that over the majority say "yes" and I am fine with this, Dorsey

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Similar to Kareem Abdul-Jabbar's newsletter, which I find particularly relwvant.

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